Estimation of Boiler’s Tubes Life, Artificial Neural Networks Approach
Authors
Murtadha F. MuhsenEngineering directorate, The University of Mustansiriyah Baghdad – Iraq
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Abstract
The analysis of creep-damage processes is becoming more and more important in engineering practice due to the fact that the exploitation condition like temperature and pressure are increasing while the weight of the structure should decrease. In the same time the safety standards are increasing too. The accuracy of the mechanical state estimation (stresses, strains and displacements) mainly depends on the introduced constitutive equations and on the chosen structural analysis model.
This paper is devoted to the prediction of boiler’s tube life using of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique. Training data used were obtained from Kapar power station technical reports. Predicted values of the remnant tube life were compared to the experimentally collected data to verify the success of the algorithm; average absolute error obtained was 1.667%. Results obtained show that the designed network is capable of predicting the remnant life of the boiler’s tube successfully.
Predicting boiler’s tube life successfully presented using this method will help maintenance engineers to schedule preventive maintenance procedure in order to minimize maintenance cost and to prevent any consequences of disasters which may happen if the necessary precautions were not taken.
Keywords: Boiler tube Remnant life estimation; Artificial Neural Network; water-tube boiler.
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